Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 47.903256 54.883494 62.134202 70.196790 78.880756 87.923493 98.022570
2024-11-03 39.096772 49.177357 60.220683 73.086666 87.539049 103.156500 121.194317
2024-11-10 33.547412 45.311223 58.715927 74.853067 93.498740 114.134942 138.473601
2024-11-17 27.935783 40.502487 55.379197 73.842066 95.721985 120.447086 150.131420
2024-11-24 23.470824 36.470792 52.430665 72.797966 97.482952 125.884193 160.498610
2024-12-01 20.351402 33.740039 50.731815 72.954432 100.410089 132.477606 172.045664
2024-12-08 17.759789 31.391883 49.256474 73.162128 103.218073 138.797128 183.177019
2024-12-15 15.738863 29.589148 48.295529 73.855805 106.496258 145.591263 194.815625
2024-12-22 13.435695 27.117744 46.234219 72.955353 107.648136 149.715054 203.196050
2024-12-29 12.130927 25.980300 45.873298 74.184571 111.416691 156.987976 215.348324
2025-01-05 11.078255 25.112328 45.800342 75.730888 115.548581 164.691214 228.029485
2025-01-12 9.501084 23.213099 44.113260 74.979362 116.627073 168.548869 235.985736
2025-01-19 7.763651 20.833779 41.580571 72.968383 116.012962 170.290047 241.393635
2025-01-26 7.389622 20.820771 42.583268 75.901019 121.952126 180.336511 257.132025
2025-02-02 6.802956 20.339787 42.818224 77.713189 126.383070 188.472333 270.519314
2025-02-09 5.697343 18.705046 41.132948 76.677696 126.916392 191.587081 277.615029
2025-02-16 4.727792 17.173701 39.491989 75.608821 127.329890 194.496108 284.419012
2025-02-23 4.083545 16.218922 38.721247 75.769009 129.390442 199.516393 293.882041
2025-03-02 3.521377 15.344801 38.018539 75.981658 131.491742 204.574770 303.394112
2025-03-09 3.091050 14.702609 37.665357 76.691830 134.269437 210.515746 314.041100
2025-03-16 2.507681 13.536309 36.297952 75.769954 134.698968 213.331010 320.674286
2025-03-23 2.241877 13.165931 36.337714 77.028393 138.219905 220.249387 332.596726
2025-03-30 2.034852 12.921056 36.588433 78.611211 142.207239 227.801865 345.362095